Posts Tagged ‘forecasting’

The Nonsense of Asking “Who Deserves Care?”

December 10, 2022 — In a perverse way, there might be some good news in the current frothy coverage about new medicines for obesity and diabetes. We are a bit fed up with nonsense about who “deserves” access to  care with drugs like semaglutide. But it does serve to highlight some of the usually hidden biases about treating obesity. […]

Model Assumptions for Driving Health Policy

April 22, 2020 — “I was never involved in a model. At least this kind of a model,” said our President at a recent press briefing. But now it seems that all of us are getting a crash course in modeling and model assumptions for making health policy. Perhaps we will learn to think more critically about the output […]

Forecasting the End of the Obesity Epidemic

July 3, 2013 — Forecasting the natural progression of the obesity epidemic makes sense if you want to know whether anything we’re doing is having an impact. Just like a good story, every epidemic has a beginning, middle, and an end. Lately, we’ve been seeing signs that obesity’s prevalence is leveling. Policy makers who think they have the answer […]